Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.427295 3.957709 4.541199 5.230475 6.022308 6.903367 7.958053
2024-12-29 2.749285 3.457129 4.302019 5.384000 6.732301 8.356821 10.463042
2025-01-05 2.259539 3.060065 4.085796 5.494633 7.378178 9.808793 13.184198
2025-01-12 1.851354 2.679188 3.809206 5.461204 7.812315 11.036583 15.794801
2025-01-19 1.466170 2.253685 3.392244 5.153603 7.806189 11.649167 17.639862
2025-01-26 1.300670 2.111030 3.344810 5.353071 8.534883 13.376805 21.303757
2025-02-02 1.202543 2.051319 3.406117 5.716120 9.549060 15.648327 26.088009
2025-02-09 1.074237 1.919717 3.330143 5.841410 10.191506 17.407271 30.278993
2025-02-16 0.957556 1.787514 3.230472 5.905888 10.730405 19.049200 34.471002
2025-02-23 0.826832 1.608954 3.023258 5.748458 10.853748 19.985661 37.543056
2025-03-02 0.702552 1.422383 2.773729 5.474818 10.721731 20.439633 39.780680
2025-03-09 0.634622 1.333489 2.692318 5.503122 11.151266 21.957892 44.170118
2025-03-16 0.553383 1.208344 2.528811 5.358699 11.247282 22.897371 47.650455
2025-03-23 0.526839 1.192846 2.582227 5.660711 12.280370 25.794852 55.416330
2025-03-30 0.493254 1.156976 2.588414 5.864640 13.137911 28.446645 63.028552
2025-04-06 0.447829 1.087505 2.512810 5.880338 13.593406 30.319059 69.231618
2025-04-13 0.384872 0.967452 2.308316 5.577956 13.302479 30.555249 71.882826
2025-04-20 0.365932 0.949741 2.334371 5.810785 14.262284 33.660472 81.394705
2025-04-27 0.358727 0.959914 2.427171 6.215025 15.678093 37.968690 94.241764
2025-05-04 0.336479 0.928181 2.414007 6.357435 16.479449 40.943551 104.290138
2025-05-11 0.312703 0.888677 2.375883 6.431265 17.119553 43.609097 113.918292
2025-05-18 0.279770 0.819094 2.250946 6.262208 17.116405 44.697804 119.728716
2025-05-25 0.245159 0.739177 2.087250 5.965722 16.736602 44.787936 122.967219